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Wednesday, August 15, 2007

GENIUS PURE GENIUS - LEGEND OF CNORRIS !


HAPPY DAYS HERE AGAIN
By CHRIS MICHAUD

August 15, 2007 -- A surprising 94 percent of Americans say they are satisfied with their lives - although far fewer in New York and other Eastern states think they're better off than they were five years ago, according to a new survey.

The Harris Poll of more than 1,000 people reported the overall "satisfaction" level, defined as people who said they were either very or somewhat satisfied with their lot, was up 4 percentage points, from 90 percent two years ago.

But only 42 percent of people in the Eastern U.S. said things had improved since 2002. By contrast, 60 percent of Southerners and 62 percent of Westerners said their lives had improved.


A nation wide poll of 1,000 people?

Did the Harris Poll have a budget cut or maybe this is the work of the summer intern staff?

So that's 1000 people polled out of 300,000,000 Americans ?

Wow, yes how is anybody going challenge such a valuable statistic that represents 1/ 30,000th of the American demographic

Genius pure genius !

Well, It nice to know that at least 940 American are happy!

The Harris Poll of more than 1,000 people reported the overall "satisfaction" level, defined as people who said they were either very or somewhat satisfied with their lot,

Ya know, I am "somewhat satisfied with my lot" too, make that 941 !

CNorris ORIGINAL POST ON ANABOLICMINDS
Quote:
Apparently you dont understand the least bit about the science of polling and sample size. The confidence interval is 4 for a sample size of 1,000 out of 300 million people. In other words, this sample size is adequate to show that with a 99% certainty, 96% ±4% are happy. So in worst case scenario (for you best case) only 92% are happy.

Genius pure genius !


ANABOLICRHINO REPLIES

Is this a joke? did you just state that with 99% certainty there is a 4% margin of error? ...and you did this to discredit yourself by showing evidence contrary to the point your were asserting ?



You win, I give up... It's your world(albeit a stupid world)

You can keep it all to yourself !

I am taking a vacation

---------------------------------------------------

Quote:
Originally Posted by CNorris
It means that there is a 99% chance that the range falls within 92% and 100%. It is called statistics. Dont even attempt to comprehend science and numbers if it bewilders you so much. Now put on your pointy hat and sit on your stool in the corner.


ANABOLICRHINO REPLIES

My friend you seem to think you have won an imaginary battle in a virtual war.

Well genius before I put on my hat, I will ask you to please
read the following:

Your choice of numbers are very interesting, however just like every answer you have ever "cut and pasted" from another website, or phrase that you borrowed from another board member, this answer fails to address the question that you were asked!!!!!

The question was how does a survey of 1000 people in a demographic of 300,000,000 represent the "happiness" of the entire nation?

I will make the question numerical if you prefer.

How does the positive answer, even if it falls within the range of
your magical 99% accurate scale of 920-1000 people, effectively
represent the other 299,999,000 people in the stated "American s are happy" demographic?

Now just answer the f*cking question or slither back into your hole and admit you are out of you league

You are officially on the clock "Genius pure genius"


You respond like such a stone cold douche bag, its hard to believe you are a real person and not some kind of "alternative login robot" who just spews fragments of of irrelevant information regardless of the topic.

It like you are on a mission to frustrate real discussions between real people.

I had to post this here because the POLITICS FORUM was locked out for me (hint, hint)

How is your angel now sweetheart????




MORE WISDOM FROM THE GENIUS THAT IS CNorris

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

The explanations you have been mocking are correct. As it is not practical to interview 300,000,000 people, representative polling is used instead.

The poll of 1000 randomly selected people has a certain average score. There is a 99% chance that the national average is within 4% of the poll average. In simpler terms, we can be nearly totally sure that the results of the poll are pretty close to what a national poll, if carried out, would tell us.

This type of statistic is pretty reliable, and properly conducted polls with similar sample sizes taken in the lead-up to the recent US elections correctly predicted the outcome.

It does seem very strange that asking such a small number of people can give a reliable estimate for everyone, but the reason is that the small number were randomly chosen, and randomly selecting 1000 people gives you a reasonably representative sample.

There is no leap of faith here; it is elegant mathematics.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confidence_intervals

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